Conceptual monthly trend polygon methodology and climate change assessments

dc.authorid0000-0003-2754-5492
dc.contributor.authorŞen, Zekai
dc.date.accessioned2021-10-11T10:08:40Z
dc.date.available2021-10-11T10:08:40Z
dc.date.issued2021
dc.departmentİstanbul Medipol Üniversitesi, Mühendislik ve Doğa Bilimleri Fakültesi, İnşaat Mühendisliği Bölümü
dc.description.abstractClimate change impact search methodologies, for a single hydro-meteorological record, are based mostly on probabilistic, statistical and stochastic processes. The application of these methodologies requires some restrictive assumptions for their validation, which may not be embedded in the structure of the record. Either transformations or approximations are taken into consideration, with idealization and simplification assumptions. In this paper, a series of conceptual trend polygon methodologies are presented without mathematical expression or restrictive assumptions. These are serial, cross- and double polygonal trend methods, in addition to trend star graphs. They help in identifying, interpreting and calculating monthly shifts, producing useful scientific information that cannot be obtained by the classical monotonic trend identification approaches. The methodology is applied to hydro-meteorological series from different regions of the world including precipitation and discharge records.
dc.identifier.citationŞen, Z. (2021). Conceptual monthly trend polygon methodology and climate change assessments. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 66(3), 503-512. https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2021.1881099
dc.identifier.doi10.1080/02626667.2021.1881099
dc.identifier.endpage512
dc.identifier.issn0262-6667
dc.identifier.issn2150-3435
dc.identifier.issue3
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1
dc.identifier.startpage503
dc.identifier.urihttps://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2021.1881099
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12511/8416
dc.identifier.volume66
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ1
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherTaylor & Francis Ltd
dc.relation.ispartofHydrological Sciences Journalen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/embargoedAccess
dc.subjectConceptual
dc.subjectCross
dc.subjectDouble
dc.subjectMonth
dc.subjectPolygon
dc.subjectSerial
dc.subjectStar
dc.subjectTrend
dc.titleConceptual monthly trend polygon methodology and climate change assessments
dc.typeArticle

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