Mitigation of time series approach on climate change adaptation on rainfall of Wadi Al-Aqiq, Madinah, Saudi Arabia

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dc.authorid0000-0003-2754-5492
dc.contributor.authorRahman, Norhan Abdul
dc.contributor.authorYusop, Zulkifli
dc.contributor.authorŞen, Zekai
dc.contributor.authorTaher, Saud
dc.contributor.authorKane, Ibrahim Lawal
dc.date.accessioned10.07.201910:49:13
dc.date.accessioned2019-07-10T19:35:28Z
dc.date.available10.07.201910:49:14
dc.date.available2019-07-10T19:35:28Z
dc.date.issued2017
dc.departmentİstanbul Medipol Üniversitesi, Mühendislik ve Doğa Bilimleri Fakültesi, İnşaat Mühendisliği Bölümü
dc.description.abstractRainfall record plays a significant role in assessment of climate change, water resource planning and management. In arid region, studies on rainfall are rather scarce due to intricacy and constraint of the available data. Most available studies use more advanced approaches such as A2 scenario, General Circulation Models (GCM) and the like, to study the temporal dynamics and make projection on future rainfall. However, those models take no account of the data patterns and its predictability. Therefore, this study uses time series analysis methodologies such as Mann- Kendall trend test, de-trended fluctuation analysis and state space time series approaches to study the dynamics of rainfall records of four stations in and around Wadi Al-Aqiq, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA). According to Mann-Kendall trend test there are decreasing trend in three out of the four stations. The detrended fluctuation analysis revealed two distinct scaling properties that spells the predictability of the records and confirmed by state space methods.
dc.description.abstractRekod hujan memainkan peranan penting dalam penilaian perubahan iklim dan perancangan dan pengurusan sumber air. Di kawasan gersang, kajian mengenai hujan agak sukar didapati kerana kerumitan dan kekangan data yang ada. Kebanyakan kajian menggunakan kaedah yang lebih canggih seperti A2 senario, model GCM dan sebagainya, untuk mengkaji dinamik secara sementara dan membuat unjuran hujan akan datang. Walau bagaimanapun, model-model tersebut tidak mengambil kira corak data dan kebolehramalan. Oleh itu, kajian ini menggunakan siri analisis metodologi masa seperti Mann- Kendall ujian trend, de-trend analisis turun naik dan pendekatan siri masa terhadap keadaan ruang untuk mengkaji dinamik rekod hujan sebanyak empat stesen di dalam dan sekitar Wadi Al-Aqiq, Kerajaan Arab Saudi (KSA). Menurut ujian trend MannKendall, terdapat penurunan trend terhadap tiga daripada empat stesen. Analisis turun naik de-trend mendedahkan dua sifat skala berbeza yang menjelaskankan kebolehramalan rekod dan disahkan oleh kaedah keadaan ruang.
dc.description.sponsorshipUniversiti Teknologi Malaysia: PY/2017/00598 King Abdulaziz City for Science and Technology Taibah University National Plan for Science, Technology and Innovation Centre for Teaching and Learning, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia Saudi Arabian Cultural Mission: 10-WAT1049-05en_US
dc.identifier.citationRahman, N. A., Yusop, Z., Şen, Z., Taher, S. ve Kane, I. L. (2017). Mitigation of time series approach on climate change adaptation on rainfall of Wadi Al-Aqiq, Madinah, Saudi Arabia. Jurnal Teknologi, 79(5), 91-104. https://dx.doi.org/10.11113/jt.v79.10206
dc.identifier.doi10.11113/jt.v79.10206
dc.identifier.endpage104
dc.identifier.issn0127-9696
dc.identifier.issn2180-3722
dc.identifier.issue5
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ3
dc.identifier.startpage91
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12511/794
dc.identifier.urihttps://dx.doi.org/10.11113/jt.v79.10206
dc.identifier.volume79
dc.identifier.wosqualityN/A
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherPenerbit UTM Press
dc.relation.ispartofJurnal Teknologien_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subjectClimate Change
dc.subjectDetrended Fluctuation Analysis
dc.subjectMadinah
dc.subjectTrend Analysis
dc.subjectWadi Al-Aqiq
dc.subjectPerubahan İklim
dc.subjectCorak Analisa
dc.subjectAnalisa Naik Turun Detrended
dc.subjectWadi Al-Aqiq
dc.subjectMadinah
dc.titleMitigation of time series approach on climate change adaptation on rainfall of Wadi Al-Aqiq, Madinah, Saudi Arabia
dc.typeArticle

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