Monthly extreme rainfall risk envelope graph method development and application in Algeria

dc.authorid0000-0003-2754-5492
dc.contributor.authorZeroual, Sara
dc.contributor.authorŞen, Zekai
dc.contributor.authorBoutaghane, Hamouda
dc.contributor.authorHasbaia, Mahmoud
dc.date.accessioned2021-09-09T07:40:53Z
dc.date.available2021-09-09T07:40:53Z
dc.date.issued2021
dc.departmentİstanbul Medipol Üniversitesi, Mühendislik ve Doğa Bilimleri Fakültesi, İnşaat Mühendisliği Bölümü
dc.description.abstractRainfall patterns are bound to change as a result of global warming and climate change impacts. Rainfall events are dependent on geographic location, geomorphology, coastal area closeness and general circulation air movements. Accordingly, there are increases and decreases at different meteorology station time-series records leading to extreme events such as droughts and floods. This paper suggests a methodology in terms of envelope curves for monthly extreme rainfall event occurrences at a set of risk levels or return periods that may trigger the extreme occurrences at meteorology station catchments. Generally, in many regions, individual storm rainfall records are not available for intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curve construction. The main purpose of this paper is, in the absence of individual storm rainfall records, to suggest monthly envelope curves, which provide a relationship between return period and monthly extreme rainfall values. The first step is to identify each monthly extreme rainfall records probability distribution function (PDF) for risk level and return period calculations. Subsequently, the return period rainfall amount relationships are presented on double-logarithmic graphs with the best power model as a set of envelope curves. The applications of these methodologies are implemented for three Hodna drainage basin meteorology station rainfall records in northern Algeria. It is concluded that the most extreme rainfall risk months are June, August and September, which may lead to floods or flash floods in the study area. A new concept is presented for the possible extreme value triggering months through the envelope curves as 'low', 'medium' and 'high' class potentials.
dc.identifier.citationZeroual, S., Şen, Z., Boutaghane, H. ve Hasbaia, M. (2021). Monthly extreme rainfall risk envelope graph method development and application in Algeria. Journal of Water and Climate Change, 12(5), 1838-1853. https://dx.doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2020.176
dc.identifier.doi10.2166/wcc.2020.176
dc.identifier.endpage1853
dc.identifier.issn2040-2244
dc.identifier.issn2408-9354
dc.identifier.issue5
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ2
dc.identifier.startpage1838
dc.identifier.urihttps://dx.doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2020.176
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12511/8064
dc.identifier.volume12
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ3
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherIWA Publishing
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Water and Climate Changeen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsAttribution 4.0 International*
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/*
dc.subjectAlgeria
dc.subjectEnvelope
dc.subjectExtreme Rainfall
dc.subjectProbability
dc.subjectReturn Period
dc.subjectRisk
dc.titleMonthly extreme rainfall risk envelope graph method development and application in Algeria
dc.typeArticle

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