Explosive behavior in COVID-19 and policy responses: Lessons learned for public health management

dc.authorid0000-0001-5997-5863
dc.contributor.authorGündüz, Lokman
dc.contributor.authorAysan, Ahmet Faruk
dc.contributor.authorBağcı, Rıfgı Buğra
dc.contributor.authorKarahan, Hatice
dc.date.accessioned2024-03-20T12:04:56Z
dc.date.available2024-03-20T12:04:56Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.departmentİstanbul Medipol Üniversitesi, İşletme ve Yönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi, Ekonomi ve Finans Bölümü
dc.description.abstractSince the first case of COVID-19 in Turkey, there has been a lingering question as elsewhere in the world: “When will or should the government impose severe restrictions to protect public health?” From a public health perspective, there is value in developing a model to support proactive implementation of social policies. This study aimed to show the benefits of using a novel econometric test (the Generalized Supremum Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test) to detect explosive behavior (bubbles) in Turkey’s daily COVID-19 cases and deaths. Results from the analysis demonstrated a link between identified explosive episodes and critical public health decisions, especially in the case of daily new deaths. They also showed a negative relationship between the formation of exuberant behavior during the pandemic and the vaccination rate. Public health policymakers can incorporate this method into their arsenal to evaluate the overall health situation in combating the pandemic and respond accordingly. Furthermore, among the lessons learned from the Turkish experience is the importance of having a coronavirus scientific advisory board in the decision-making process and the ability to promptly implement policy measures. JEL Codes: C22, C58, I10, I18.
dc.identifier.citationGündüz, L., Aysan, A. F., Bağcı, R. B. ve Karahan, H. (2024). Explosive behavior in COVID-19 and policy responses: Lessons learned for public health management. SAGE Open, 14(1). https://dx.doi.org/10.1177/21582440231224772
dc.identifier.doi10.1177/21582440231224772
dc.identifier.issn2158-2440
dc.identifier.issue1
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85186553109
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ2
dc.identifier.urihttps://dx.doi.org/10.1177/21582440231224772
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12511/12384
dc.identifier.volume14
dc.identifier.wos001176653900001en_US
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ2
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.institutionauthorKarahan, Hatice
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherSAGE Publications Inc.
dc.relation.ispartofSAGE Openen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsAttribution 4.0 International*
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/*
dc.subjectBubble
dc.subjectCOVID-19
dc.subjectExplosive Behavior
dc.subjectInformation Processing
dc.subjectPublic Health Management
dc.subjectPublic Policy
dc.subjectTime Series
dc.titleExplosive behavior in COVID-19 and policy responses: Lessons learned for public health management
dc.typeArticle

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